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The Election is History
Posted: Friday, November 7, 2008, 5:35 am
(reposted: December 15, 2008, 4:13 am)
Here's how America has changed in 4 years:
Posted: Thursday, November 6, 2008, 5:08 am
Here is how America looks today:
Posted: Monday, November 3, 2008, 6:13 pm
Reading the Tea Leaves
I predict Obama will win 364 electoral votes and McCain will win 174. The map
below shows the breakout. North Dakota tips slightly for McCain whereas
Missouri tips slightly to Obama.
Using aggregated polls from the most recent month as tabulated by
Real
Clear Politics, the plot below shows state-by-state how the country is
polling. States with no poll results in the last month are shown as they were
in 2004.
Move mouse over map to see 2004 map.
Click here for a downloadable version.
Click here for Election 2012 maps.
Click here for Election 2006 maps.
Click here for Election 2005 maps.
Click here for Election 2004 maps.
Click here for Election 2000 map.
The Economy.
Is the current crisis the worst since the great depression or are such claims
simple election year fear mongering?
Take a look at the semi-log plots below and decide for
yourself. Note that a drop from 10,000 to 1,000 would be a 90 percent drop.
Similarly, a drop from 1,000 to 100 would also be a 90 percent drop. On a
semi-log scale both drops would look to be of the same magnitude. Current data
is only up to October 24.
